Total Pageviews

Sunday, 16 June 2013

Unit 3: Oligopoly - OFGEM and the energy providers

The energy regulator Ofgem has set out plans to "break the stranglehold of the big six energy suppliers".



Six firms generate 80% of Britain's electricity
The measures require large suppliers and generators to trade fairly with smaller players or face cash penalties.

Centrica (British Gas), E.ON, SSE, Npower, EDF and ScottishPower will also have to post the prices at which they will buy and sell electricity up to two years in advance.

Ofgem says it will increase competition in the wholesale energy market.

The six companies generate 80% of Britain's electricity and supply around 95% of it to their customers.

"Ofgem's proposals will break the stranglehold of the big six in the retail market," said Andrew Wright, senior partner for markets at the regulator.

He added that they should also "create a more level playing field for independent suppliers, who will get a fair deal when they want to buy and sell power up to two years ahead".

The move is part of Ofgem's attempts to shake up the retail market for consumers.

Reforms outlined already will require firms to provide customers with simpler, clearer and fairer tariffs.

But the regulator wants more competition as well, and is seeking ways to ensure new entrants can take on the dominance of the six largest energy suppliers.

Fair play and market making

Under the proposals, the major generating firms will not be able to refuse reasonable requests by smaller suppliers to buy energy.

The major firms will have to sell power at a fair price and negotiate fairly at all times.

There will be deadlines to ensure the larger companies acknowledge requests and respond to them.

Traditionally, firms have tended to restrict sales to smaller suppliers to the near-term.

The biggest six companies currently auction up to 30% of their power in so-called spot market - for immediate usage.

Prices in the forward market - for delivery of energy months or years in the future - have been less transparent.

So the regulator wants to impose an obligation that will require the big six companies to post the prices at which they will buy and sell power up to two years in advance.

Ofgem says this will make it easier for independent firms to buy power for their customers.

It also expects greater price transparency to assist investors seeking to build new power generation plants in the future.

Will it work?

Some smaller entrants have long complained that opening up the spot market did not go far enough.

One of these smaller energy provider First Utility, which has 180,000 customers, says it buys just 1% of its electricity on the spot market. It says that it needs access to longer-term contracts.

"Ofgem's proposals are a positive move and there is no doubt that independent suppliers will be better off as a result, but the concern is that they will be complicated to design, implement and manage and won't completely solve the problem," said First Utility.

The company said it saw the move as a useful first step.

But it believed the long-term solution should be to force the big companies to offer all of the energy they generate for sale to other energy firms on the wholesale market, rather than retaining a big chunk for sale to their own end customers.

'More work to be done'

Other entrants argue that it is not liquidity but predatory pricing by the six largest companies that is the biggest problem.

Responding to the proposals, Angela Knight, chief executive of Energy UK, which represents the major energy companies said: "Effective and transparent wholesale energy markets can deliver benefits for customers, and we understand and agree with the objective of creating a more competitive retail market."

"The energy industry agrees with Ofgem that more work needs to be done on these proposals and is keen to have further discussions."

"The Ofgem proposals are not just a 'big six' issue, but apply to how the eight largest generators sell their energy onto the wholesale market. We need to consider carefully how the proposals join up as some have the potential to increase costs while others may well make it easier to see what is happening in the market," she added.

Ofgem says that it will consult on the license conditions that will bring the reforms into effect in the autumn. The changes are expected to be in place by early 2014.

Tuesday, 11 June 2013

Protectionism - a few thoughts

as far as protectionism is concerned....

tariffs will do the following -

Increase prices (draw diagram to prove)

Reduce consumer surplus and cause welfare loss (Same diagram)

Cause retaliation - (Use China & EU - solar panels and wine)

Short run - possibly tax revenue, although this is a very weak argument for tariffs and is not the reason countries do it.

Long run - damaging for all concerned as it ignores efficiency and comparative advantage

Possible arguments in favour would be for developing countries protecting their infant industries against foreign competition - they could use this protection to improve infrastructure, increase investment and become competitive...then reduce barriers to compete

big problkem with the above is that they need cash to do this and foreign comanies (FDI) and IMF would not allow protectionist barriers.

hope this helps...I have no doubt you are ready...good luck!

Monday, 10 June 2013

VERY IMPORTANT

Right guys,

two of you have made this mistake in last two days so please read...

An increasing fiscal deficit like the ones in Greece, Spain and even the UK is not, REPEAT NOT, exapanionary fiscal policy.

The reason behinbd the increased deficits is the fact that the econies are shrinking (Less tax revenue) and rising unemployment (More benefits spending).

Remember G is only one part of AD.

Just because G is rising, it does not mean AD is rising.

It will slow down the fall in AD (Fiscal Drag), but not enough to stop AD shifting to the left and causing recessions.

Exoansionary Fiscal policy is when govts operate fiscal stimulus packages...ie increase spending on projects they were not going to spoen money on beforehand.

Any questions...mail me!!!!

Unit 4: More essay suggestions

Gabs asked about these two essays...I have jotted down some possible areas you should focus on.

To what extent might a high national debt be a cause of concern?
and 

How might the UK's non-membership of the euro explain the trend (decreasing) in inwards investment?
ok, first one is about how being in debt is an issue:
 
focus on -
 
credit rating issues
Bond prices rising
Crowding out
Inefficient investment from govt
Future tax increase to pay for debt
could be inflationary (although in reality at moment it wont be)
 
evaluation
 
need fiscal debt to kick start economy
will automatically pay back in long term (Keynesian view)
If we don't spen what happens to growth & employment
 
second one -
 
being outside Eurozone means possible may be an issue;
 
transaction costs - ie Japanese firms in UK have to pay commission when trading with Eurozone countries
exchange rate uncertainty - leads to lack of investment
 
However:
 
firms more concerned about profiabiltiy
infrastructure
available skilled labour

etc

Unit 4: Essay question on EU enlargement.

Evaluate the significance of EU enlargement to UK macroeconomic performance. (30)


Issues and areas for discussion:
1. the nature of EU enlargement

2. macroeconomic performance

3. economic growth

4. jobs

5. prices

6. the balance of payments

7. indicators of macroeconomic performance

8. a general comparison of the UK with new members’ economies

9. export opportunities

10. import threats

11. significance of outsourcing

12. demand-management policies helping to put the UK ‘house in order’ and maintaining stability

13. supply-side reforms

14. productivity

15. comparative advantage

16. the extent to which de-industrialisation limits economic success within the context of Enlargement

17. the extent of services providing a basis for success within the context of enlargement

18. opportunities/threats beyond the EU

19. immigration

20. other factors complementing the impact of enlargement or vv, i.e. enlargement as just

21. one potential component of improved UK macroeconomic performance

22. the underlying strength/weakness of the UK economy before enlargement

23. the strength of the challenges posed by the new members (Croatia example)

24. the UK business attitudes towards preparing for, and facing up to, the challenges

25. enlargement perceived as much more/much less significant than other factors

Examination Questions guesses!

I have given it some thought and here is what I think is most likely to come up:

The EU - What are the benefits and drawbacks of UK leaving the EU (or staying in). Could also be benefits and drawbacks of being in the Eurozone...don't get those two mixed up!.

Austerity Vs stimulus question - what are the benefits and drawbacks of this policy. Rather than just focus on effects on the UK, I suggest you look at effects on Greece et al.

Protectionism - it's on the increase: what are the economic impacts of this (this could be effects on both developed and developing countries). What are the advantages & disadvantages of free trade?

Development - factors hindering development will be there in some form or other. Remember, it is important to look at effects of development on both the developing countries AND the developed. Remember to mention the development models when answering a question on this topic.

Trading Blocs - do they increase globalisation or decrease? (you can argue both ways). Also, remember the rise of bilateral agreements around the world. Is this reducing the importance of the blocs?

Unemployment - when discussing policies to improve this, remember to include what types of unemployment you are trying to improve.

Fiscal, monetary & supply side - please be familiar with these and how effective they are given the current economic climate.

Finally: remember when discussing macroeconomic objectives, be relevant. Inflation and balance of trade are not the most pressing issue at the moment...fiscal debt, employment creation and econ growth are.

Unit 4: European Union Expansion - Croatia becomes number 28!

Here are some links to resources covering the accession of Croatia to the European Union as the country becomes the 28th member nation of the EU Single Market. This BBC news article tracks Croatia's progress from isolation to full membership of the EU.



On July 1, Croatia will become the 28th member of the European Union, which will open up employment prospects for hundreds of thousands of job-seekers. With low salaries being offered at home, and high competition, Croatia has one of the worst unemployment rates in the region