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Saturday 31 May 2014

Unit 3: Eurotunnel and competition

Really good piece highlighting how the merged CMA (used to be the CC & OFT) have regulated the cross-channel service operators.

An important judgement from the newly established Competition and Markets Authority (CMA). They believe that competition is best served by having three major cross-channel service operators - namely EuroTunnel (rail) and two ferry operators.

The CMA has ruled against EuroTunnel being able to cross-subsidise the loss-making MyFerryLink on the Dover to Calais service because in doing so, it is likely to lead to the market exit of a rival provider and ultimately cause higher prices for consumers.

This paragraph is telling!

"The interest of cross-Channel customers, both passengers and freight, will not be well served if Eurotunnel ends up as one of only two ferry operators in addition to owning the competing rail link. Eurotunnel’s purchase of ferries means it now has over half the market and its share will rise further if competitors exit."

The two major competitors to EuroTunnel are P&O Ferries and Denmark’s DFDS


Read more on this story here

Thursday 22 May 2014

Unit 3: Privatisation and regulation: The Royal Mail

There is so much for Unit 3 (and this is deffo a possible question) in this recent story from the BBC.

Issues discussed include:

Competition and revenue loss (Oligopoly market competing on price)
Government watchdog & regulations: Ofcom regulations (Profit targets and service targets)
Natural Monopoly: Universal Service offered by Royal Mail (are they acting against competitors interests by charging more for them to use the Natural monopoly part of their business?)
'Cherry Picking' by competitors
Contestability: Is there brand loyalty - probably to letters, but not business mail and parcels.
Changing markets = changing competitive practices: Sunday service - due to increasing demand.

Click here for the article - a must read before Mondays lesson!!!!




Tuesday 20 May 2014

Unit 4: Why is Africa so poor?

Click here for an article from 2009 that explains really well how the continent of Africa is so poor, despite being 'rich' in terms of minerals, oil, labour and sunshine!

High on the list are: War, corruption, poor government & no long term infrastructure plan.


Unit 4: Primary product dependency - excellent clip

Thank you Mariyah for this really useful, video about Russia & development. (Click here to access)

Possible themes include,

Primary Product Dependency, Dutch Disease, export led economy issues. I'm sure there are more....great stuff!

Monday 19 May 2014

Unit 2: Macro revision presentations

Here is a listing of many of the presentations for AS macro - I hope they are useful for the exam in the coming week

Quick AS Macro Revision Guide Presentations


Circular flow and macro objectives: www.slideshare.net/tutor2u/macro-revise-2014objectives






Multiplier Effect, Accelerator Effect and Keynesian Economics:www.slideshare.net/tutor2u/as-macro-revision-multiplier-accelerator-and-keynesian-economics


Unemployment and Employment in the Labour Market: www.slideshare.net/tutor2u/as-macro-revision-unemployment



Monetary Policy – Interest Rates and Exchange Rates: www.slideshare.net/tutor2u/as-macro-revision-monetary-policy-and-exchange-rates





Possible Conflicts between Macroeconomic Objectives: www.slideshare.net/tutor2u/as-macro-revision-macro-objectives-and-conflicts


Saturday 17 May 2014

3 new posts - please read!

Morning all,

I have posted 3 new articles today, please don't miss any of them (scroll down below). We will discuss tomorrow.

Unit 4: FDI - China and Africa

An essential piece highlighting Chinese investment in access to commodities, and the costs and benefits for an LEDC of FDI.

China is providing 90% of the finance needed to build a new railway line in East Africa, with the first phase to run from Mombasa to Nairobi and later stages to extend via Uganda to Rwanda and South Sudan. A great way to help those countries overcome the constraints of lacking the infrastructure to give them efficient access to ports and therefore to overseas markets for their goods.

Construction work on the standard gauge line is expected to start in October this year, and the 610 km (380-mile) stretch from the coast to Nairobi is due to be finished in early 2018 (so rather faster than the construction of HS2...). This will cost $3.8bn, and Reuters have reported that Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta has said the new link should cut the cost of sending a tonne of freight one kilometre from 20 US cents to eight. The Kenyan government only has to provide 10% of the finance, in order to gain this benefit, as well as the advantages of a more mobile population.

However, here is the downside. The construction work is to be carried out by a Chinese firm. A subsidiary of China Communications Construction Co has been named as the main contractor. Although Reuters report that China's premier has told a news conference that they will ensure that African labourers are trained and employed, in the past and in similar projects, construction has often relied on imported Chinese labour and is more keen on sucking in African raw materials to China than passing on skills. In this case, there has been widespread criticism that there was no competitive tendering for the work. Kenyan officials said there was no public bidding because that was a condition of securing Chinese financing - again, a useful example of one of the disadvantages that countries can face when they seek to encourage inward FDI in order to boost their growth and development.


There is nothing new here, however. The new railway will replace a rickety narrow gauge line built at the end of the nineteenth century - during British colonial rule, and by British contractors. And the labour used then was imported, mainly Indian workers brought in from another part of the empire.

Unit 3: Pricing Strategies

Two pricing strategies that caught my eye yesterday, which allows for lots of economic concepts to be discussed, not least that many firms will not 'Profit Maximise', but choose alternatives which will benefit them in the long run!

1) Albion Rovers: Albion Rovers have trebled the number of season tickets they normally sell, just five days after launching a 'pay what you can afford' scheme. Read more here.

Things to think about: effective demand, price discrimination, consumer surplus, producer surplus, efficiency, equity, scarcity

This reminded me of the following pricing decisions too:

Radiohead's Honesty Box





2) Restaurant gives family "Well Behaved Kids" Discount

Unit 3: How to reduce contestability

A good article in The Economist recently, arguing that firms may be cramming markets in order to keep rivals out. Raising barriers to entry serves to reduce the levels of competition in markets, or makes them less ‘contestable’.

I’ve been interested in business clusters and the idea of external economies of scale for a long time, and if you read the article you’ll see that there’s a long history of trying to understand firms’ location decisions: locate too near a rival and ferocious competition hits profits; edge too far away and too large a chunk of the market is lost. But this analysis goes even deeper: more outlets soak up demand, so that outsiders’ gains from entering a market. When there are big costs to setting up shop, “pre-emption” of this sort can keep rivals out.

This helps explain not just the physical proximity of some firms’ outlets, but also the similarity of products sold by a single company. Breakfast cereals are an example: in 1950 America’s six big producers offered around 25 types of cereal; by 1972 it was around 80. Competition authorities suspected that the proliferation was not just a response to shoppers’ varied tastes. Rather, the market was being crammed with options in order to reduce the “space” for new entrants.
If anything, according to the author, worries about proliferation are greater today, as waves of mergers have left fewer, larger firms. Opening multiple outlets might be profitable for a chain as a whole if that keeps rivals at bay. The article offers an interesting case study into the branded hotel business in Texas, where the six firm concentration ratio is 91%.

Customers tend to favour particular brands. It doesn’t make much sense to open a similar hotel next to one you already operate: that will dent a rival’s entry profits by only 5%, but perhaps means a 10-12% profit drain for you. Instead, hotel chains seem to “fill” the market another way. Rather than opening lots of identical hotels, they open differentiated lodgings, with the six largest hotel groups operating 32 brands. Though some of these vary in quality, many compete head-to-head: Courtyard and Fairfield, both owned by Marriott, cater to similar budgets, as do Comfort Inn, Econo Lodge and Quality Inn, all part of Choice Hotels.


Something here for fans of interdependence in oligopolistic markets, game theory and so forth.

Friday 16 May 2014

Unit 3 & 4: Some relevant articles

The latest mining disaster in Turkey which killed 100's of people is being blamed on privatisation. Another example to use when discussing the issues when profit is the main factor. Also has implications for the weakness of government regulation. Click here for article.

On the other hand click here for an article on how OfGem. Energy giant E.On is to pay a record £12m penalty following an investigation into mis-selling by the industry regulator. Once again useful for government intervention.


Thursday 15 May 2014

Unit 3: Another merger in the news - Dixons & Carphone Warehouse

Click here for the latest on the merger between Dixons and Carphone Warehouse. Not only does it raise some excellent points on the advantages of merging, but take some time to read the analysis from Kamal Ahmed on the right hand side.

It highlights the previous issues that Carphone Warehouse had when it merged with the American company 'Best Buy'. (ie, 'they completely misunderstood the shopping habits of the British customer')

Possible questions:

Q) What type of merger is this? (4 Marks)

Q) Assess the advantages to the consumer & the producer of this merger. (12 Marks)

Q) What are the potential issues with a merger of this kind, in this market at this time? (12 Marks)

Wednesday 14 May 2014

Unit 4: Whatever happened to the Philips Curve?

Excellent up to date article on a topic that, although specific, can come up and be used in many exam questions on government policy.

Tuesday 13 May 2014

Unit 3: Government intervention/Competition Commission - Pfizer/AstroZeneca

An interesting and timely article (click here) about the proposed takeover of AstroZeneca the huge UK Pharmaceutical company by Pfizer (another pharmaceutical company).

A good example of the pros and cons of horizontal integration in a global industry.

Friday 9 May 2014

Unit 4: FDI and developing countries - over reliance?

This is an excellent piece which looks at the advantages and disadvantages for countries that rely on FDI & multinationals.

This Economist article returns to a topic from way back in 2000, when the multinational company Intel had recently embarked on a significant investment in Costa Rica. What would happen to the relatively poor Central American economy when the giant arrived?

Fast forward to 2014 and Intel have announced that they are leaving. Cue some similar questions: what effects have been felt? And what impact will Intel’s departure have?

Back in 2000, the Economist reported that when Intel named a new boss for its Costa Rica operation, the president of the tiny country joked that the new manager's job was more important than his own. Intel had begun to transform the economy in 1997. GDP grew and exports boomed, giving Costa Rica a trade surplus for the first time since 1986.

When the value of the Intel factory's production almost tripled, the rest of the economy grew more modestly, by around 3%. Farming, traditionally the mainstay of the economy, suffered from low prices and some Costa Ricans worried that their country now had a “dual economy”, and was swapping one form of economic dependency for another.

“Fifty years ago we depended on coffee and bananas; today we depend on Intel,” the central bank president complained. And it’s worth remembering that although GDP boomed, the impact on GNP (national income) grew by only 2% because of the outflow of profits.

The article argued that Costa Rica had some inbuilt advantages in handling Intel: a democratic tradition, respect for the rule of law, and a well-educated workforce. Such factors led Intel to choose Costa Rica for its only factory in Latin America. The business went on to help improve Costa Rica's infrastructure and other foreign investors followed Intel.

What is the view from 2014?

According to the article, by the end of the year 1,500 jobs will have been lost as Intel pulls out of Costa Rica. Intel’s operations in the country are worth around $2 billion a year, making up about 20% of the country’s exports. The firm accounted for 11% of net foreign direct investment in 2000-12. Intel says it will hire another 200 staff to work in its engineering and global-services units in the country, which currently employ around 1,200 people. Nonetheless, one economic adviser to the incoming government, estimates that the closure of the microchip factory will cause a drop in Costa Rica’s GDP of 0.3-0.4% over the next year.

Intel’s arrival helped Costa Rica to develop a lively high-tech cluster which includes companies such as Infosys and Hewlett Packard (which last year announced that it was moving some of its Costa Rican jobs to India). The worry is that just as Intel’s arrival triggered an influx of smaller firms, its departure could cause them to leave.

Nor is technology the only industry feeling the squeeze. Hours after Intel announced its departure, Bank of America said it would close its Costa Rican operations as part of a global restructuring programme, laying off 1,400 workers.


So few celebrations that the MNC is leaving: instead it’s a revealing insight into some of the problems created up by a dependency on foreign firms for the development of a small, relatively poor economy.

Thursday 8 May 2014

Unit 4: Has India missed the manufacturing boat?

This is a timely and important short video report on the future for Indian manufacturing industry.

Onerous regulations, bureaucracy and poor infrastructure have made it difficult for large manufacturers to prosper in low cost mass manufacturing in India.

And just as the South Asian nation starts to benefit from the so-called demographic dividend, manufacturers are shifting towards less labour intensive manufacturing techniques. 

The Financial Times visits JCB and Bharat Forge in the manufacturing hub of Pune to find out more

Monday 5 May 2014

Exam Technique: An examiners perspective

Some really useful pointers as to what constitutes a good exam answer and what the common mistakes might be....written by a UK examiner.

I marked twenty AS macro essays this morning – and many of the answers were tremendously revealing in terms of where students are in their exam preparation. Along the way I tweeted some thoughts – hopefully they might be of some use
There is no mystery to doing well in exams – no mystery at all – it is good subject knowledge, clear writing, evaluative thinking …. And hard work ….. the rest is mere detai
  • Here is essay title - Evaluate the likely impact of inward labour migration on 3 macroeconomic objectives #econ2 good essay for evaluation!
  • Best answers so far stay totally clear of politics and focus on both demand and supply side effects. Evaluation focus on productivity/trade
  • Exam tip: Please avoid words such as incredibly, extremely, clearly .... be more cautious ... might instead of will, possible impacts etc.
  • "Clearly" usually means "possibly" i.e. "not clear at all but I'd like it to be so"
  • Note the time ... 0851 and the first student to confuse a trade deficit with a fiscal deficit
  • Some of my students need to work on a much stronger final judgement and say something different
  • "Economic growth is the annual change in real GDP" ...if you start an answer with an incomplete / inaccurate definition the answer suffers!
  • A diagram is simply basic knowledge, with written support it can be analytical or even used for evaluation!
  • 8 essays into the marathon ... students who show contextual knowledge of the UK or other economies ALWAYS get higher marks #econ2
  • Interesting / worrying to see good students drifting back to vague/superficial GCSE writing just as key AS exams come into view - defensive?
  • Lower corporation tax might cut costs and increase jobs in industries such as hairdressing" a fringe answer at best! #econ2
  • Iron law of exam scripts? The worse the legibility of an exam script, the less the student thinks that it matters?
  • I understand a lot of teachers are BIG on exam technique ... rightly so ... but awareness / knowledge is the decisive factor for me
  • Knowledge of what is actually happening in an economy opens the door for strong evaluation .. it provides a sense of context
  • My latest complaint? Students starting an evaluative paragraph with "It depends on..." WHAT IS "IT"?
  • "Investment in schemes is very costly and involves an opportunity cost" why do students think they can get away with such superficial drivel
  • "Investment in education / training schemes might take a generation to have an effect" nonsense from students with no real world context
  • Putting AD/AS diagram into answer with NO explanation is the equivalent of dancing on your own on a crowded dance-floor - make connections!
  • "However, Mal-investment can prove useless and the government needs to investment carefully" no wonder that students under-perform in exams!
  • "The UK within both a EU and global context is seen as an attractive country to live in and work for migrants." Opening to a superb answer
  • Really good answers this morning appreciate different schools of thought - Keynesian, Austrian perspectives, free market v interventionist
  • I was struck by what Ha Joon Chang said on Thurs at RSA - the numbers matter, students need to be aware of the data to deepen understanding
  • Students often peddle superficial evaluation arguments without thinking them through - they might have been told to include certain points!

  • Education / training interventions can have a significant short term effect on the labour market - "long term effect only" point is strange

Thursday 1 May 2014

An interesting view on equal pay - brilliant!

I love this experiment, highlighting the unfairness of pay in the animal kingdom!



Aadil, lets hope you wont be the cucumber guy when you finally get a job!