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Thursday, 10 December 2015

Unit 3: Rail Franchise - Contestability & government regulation

I recently read this article from my local towns newspaper. It talk about how the new rail company that will operate the second largest franchise in the UK, the promises it makes and how the consumer will be better off as a result.

Excellent context for any question on government regulation, natural monopolies and contestability.

Sunday, 6 December 2015

Unit 1: Market for Ivory - Black markets & market failure

This week on the Beyond the Bike adventure, Stuart and Claire have been investigating the impact of illegal ivory poaching near Lusaka. To support the Beyond the Bike investigation, we have put together a number of resources to link with the Economics curriculum; the resources explore how the global price of ivory is determined, the black market associated with ivory, the negative externalities associated with the ivory market, and possible policy solutions to this example of market failure.
Next, take a look at this excellent 2012 Panorama documentary exploring the nature of the ivory market in more detail:



Finally, go to my Beyond the Bike blog post for a fully-planned group work lesson exploring the impact of the ivory trade on different stakeholders and possible policy solutions from freeing the market through to greater intervention, along with some behavioural economics suggestions.

Unit 3: Rail prices to rise by 1.1% above inflation

Regulated fares, which include season tickets, are capped at no more than July's RPI inflation rate of 1%. Unregulated fares, such as off-peak leisure tickets, can go up by as much as the train companies like.   Click here to access the article explaining the rail companies decision. 

Unit 1: Market Failure & Efficiency - An Introduction

Unit 1: Reducing Market Failure - The 5p plastic bag charge

I saw an interesting piece from the BBC yesterday about the reduction in the use of plastic bags in Tesco, since they introduced the 5p charge. Click here to access.

Points to consider:

What does this suggest about the PeD for plastic bags?

Is it the price that is stopping people buying the bags, or is it something else?

Friday, 4 December 2015

Unit 3: Contestable Markets - Tyrrell finally decides to advertise

The premium crisp / potato chip market is increasingly crowded these days. I don't mean the industrial offering stacked high from the likes of Pringles but the slightly more esoteric product brands such as Burts, Darling Spuds, Pipers and Salty Dog.
Tyrrells is right up there having achieved rapid organic growth since the business was founded less than 15 years ago.
Management Today reports that they are launching their first conventional bill-board advertising campaign in a bid to maintain sales against a fierce competitive head-wind. It seems that word of mouth and a lively social media presence can carry a brand only so far.

Monday, 30 November 2015

Unit 1: Taxing Sugary Drink - Market failure solution?

The government have recently announced that a tax on sugary drinks should be introduced in England & Wales. The aim being to try to tackle growing obesity levels. Click here for the article.

Questions for discussions:

1. How will a tax work (you should be able to draw a diagram for this)
2. How effective will it be (reasons why it will work and why it might not)
3. Are there any other implications of this tax?

4. Will the other policies be more successful & how will they effect demand? (again, a diagram would be helpful here)


Saturday, 28 November 2015

Unit 1: Behavioural Economics - Black Friday & the herd mentality!

Click here to access an article trying to explain why shoppers behave like they do!

Saturday, 21 November 2015

Unit 1: Behavioural Economics

This clip, from Sesame St, is a super example that can be used to illustrate a number of Behavioural Economics and Market Failure principles:


The Edexcel A-level Economics specification requires students to understand the concepts of bounded self-control and cognitive biases. In this clip, Cookie Monster knows that he needs to have more self-control about eating cookies and must learn to "self-regulate" - difficult, though, with his habitual consumption of cookies! A relevant cognitive bias here would be the notion of hyperbolic discounting. In technical terms, this means "time inconsistent discounting", or in plain English, we don't value the future as much as we should, placing too much emphasis on current consumption. It's also easy to link this concept with the market failure associated with demerit goods - why do people continue to consume items that are "bad" for them? Here is another Sesame St clip, again with Cookie Monster: This time, Cookie Monster has to wait for his cookie - and if he can wait, he gets two cookies instead of the one cookie he gets to wait if he can't wait. One cognitive bias shown here is the Rhyme As Reason effect, in which rhymes are perceived as more "truthful". In this case, Cookie Monster is distracted by a song containing lots of rhymes that tell him to wait. And finally, here is Cookie Monster and Sir Ian McKellen learning about the word "resist":

Unit 3: Market failure & regulatory capture

A report from the Bank of England and the Financial Services Authority has suggested that up to 10 executives that worked for HBOS should be banned from working in the City in the future. The named executives include Andy Hornby, HBOS's former chief executive, and Lord Stevenson, its former chairman.
The report suggests that the executives did not take enough action to ensure against any possible collapse in the financial markets which led to HBOS requiring a Government bailout at the start of the financial crisis in 2008.
Moreover, the report suggests that the Bank of England's own regulatory body at the time did not investigate the issues with enough stringency and relied too heavily on information from senior managers within organisations like HBOS.
For students of A Level Economics, this report offers examples of both market failure in the financial markets and the impact of regulatory capture (where the regulatory body of a market are too closely linked to the decision making of the management and ownership of the firms within that industry and therefore unlikely to act fully in the public interest).

Unit 2 & 4: The multiplier effect in action

Unit 3: Mergers, de-mergers & acquisitions in the news

Lots of action in the business markets at the moment. Please take some time to look at these. we will discuss in the lessons this week.

Monday, 16 November 2015

Unit 3: Natural Monopoly - Video presentation



In most cases, it can be argued that increased competition in a market will lead to an increase in efficiency, benefiting society and consumers. More competition, it can be argued, puts downward pressure on prices and forces firms to use their resources in a more efficient manner, encouraging firms to reduce their average total costs.

But what if the total demand for a good in a particular market is not high enough to necessitate more than one firm producing the good in question? In other words, what if having more than one firm means that each individual producer will have higher average total costs than a single firm would have? Such a scenario exists if the market demand curve intersects a monopolist's average total cost curve in the range in which economies of scale are experienced, in other words where ATC it still decreasing. This is known as a natural monopoly.

Such industries exist, particularly in the case of large utilities such as water, electricity, natural gas, sewage and garbage collection. Think about the town you live in: how many firms can you choose to buy your electricity from? The answer is most likely ONE. Would you be better off if the answer were 100? Probably not. Here's why: If 100 firms competed to provide electricity to your city, no single firm would achieve the economies of scale needed to lower its average total cost to a level that would allow it to provide electricity at the low, desirable rates that you currently pay. With 100 firms providing electricity, each firm would have much higher average costs and therefore would have to charge higher prices to their consumers! Competition would drive the price UP, instead of DOWN, like it is supposed to do, due to the significant economies of scale, namely the huge fixed costs of capital and infrastructure, needed to provide a utility such as electricity.

The problem with natural monopolies is that if they are left unregulated, they will produce much less and charge a price much higher than what is socially optimal (where marginal benefit equals marginal cost). Thus arises the need for regulation. This lesson will explain the theory of natural monopolies and examine the use of subsidies and price controls to promote a more socially optimal outcome in such industries.

Sunday, 15 November 2015

Unit 1: Diminishing Marginal Utility

Unit 1: What is Money?

Unit 3: Oligopoly, contestabilty and the gym industry

A starter for today's lesson...just how contestable is the gym industry.



Click here to access the Guardian article on the state of the UK industry.


Saturday, 14 November 2015

Unit 3: Oligopoly & Contestability

A timely article on the price war in supermarkets. This looks at many issues that we study in Unit 3. Such as:

Game theory
Contestable markets
Kinked demand curve
Oligopoly

Click here for the article. We will discuss in class tomorrow (Sunday)

Wednesday, 11 November 2015

Unit 2 & 4: UK Current Account Deficit at post war high!

Thanks to Arjun who found this article on the UK's record current account deficit. Really useful when discussing the following:

The state of the UK economy
The impact on ADS/AS
The short run implications for the UK
The long run implications for the UK
How can the UK reduce this deficit

Unit 3: Pricing Strategies Video

Monday, 9 November 2015

Unit 3: Price Discrimination - Real world examples

This article from the Guardian is an excellent, recent example of the economics of price discrimination.
Now more than ever businesses have the potential to harness information contained in digital profiles of customers to offer bespoke, personalised prices for different goods and services.
The costs of market and consumer segmentation are coming down and this type of pricing behaviour is likely to become a more frequent occurrence in our daily lives. Please do have a read and consider some of the efficiency and welfare implications of digital dynamic pricing.
Also think about the benefits to society, both in terms of the consumer & the producer.

Monday, 2 November 2015

Unit 1: Elasticity of demand in action

The issue of rising football ticket prices has been getting increasing coverage in the media lately. Tickets for top flight football matches in England have risen at an exponential rate since the old Football League First Division was revamped in 1992. We are constantly told by pundits and clever advertisements that the Barclays Premier League is the best (it’s not) and the most exciting (it might be) league in the world; but even if these two claims were proved correct the reason why fans continue to pay increasing prices can be explained to some extent by simple economic theory.
In 1990 you could buy a ticket to see the then league champions Liverpool for £4. If you wanted a season ticket these could be bought via the ticket office over the counter. Fast forward twenty years and the price of the same ticket had increased by an eye watering 975%! If you want a season ticket at Liverpool today you will have to join the waiting list – behind 28,000 other fans. This isn’t an isolated example – demand has been increasing in line with prices pretty much across the country. It’s safe to say that demand for top flight tickets is price inelastic. There are a number of potential reasons for this:
  1. Lack of close substitutes – match going fans will argue that there is no feeling quite like going to the match. Despite the dominance of Sky and BT and various other not-so-legal ways of watching football on the internet it still can’t replicate being at the match. As well as this the majority of match going fans would be highly unlikely to swap football for a different sport (although this does happen in a small number of cases).
  2. Habitual consumption – going to the football is a weekly ritual for most fans. It’s an event that is attended by families and groups of friends alike. In some cases the match is a secondary event to the other social aspects of the match going experience!
  3. Emotional attachment – Eric Cantona once said that “You can change your wife, your politics, your religion, but never, never can you change your favourite football team.” Football fans often build up an unbreakable emotional attachment to their team which inevitably has an influence of their responsiveness to ticket price changes.



Price discrimination

Football clubs have inevitably exploited this situation to increase their revenues by engaging in price discrimination which is defined as when a firm charges a different price to different groups of consumers for an identical good or service, for reasons not associated with costs.
This has particularly been the case for away fans that travel up and down the country following their football teams. In April of this year Liverpool fans were charged £50 each for an away ticket at Hull. In August of the same season Stoke fans were only charged £16 each by Hull. Same stadium, same seats……same dull affair!
This is a classic example of third degree price discrimination where fans of bigger clubs are being exploited because they are part of a larger fan base and have more inelastic demand. An added factor that contributes to this inelastic demand for fans of the bigger clubs is that if they want to go to the more prestigious away matches e.g. Chelsea or Man Utd then fans need to build credits up on their season tickets by purchasing tickets for “lower tier” games. Clubs like Hull know this and ramp the prices up.
Away fans from northern clubs are also discriminated on price by location. Manchester City fans were charged £62 for an away ticket at North London club Arsenal in 2013 – nearly twice as much as the £35 they were being charged by Southampton the following month.
This particular incident sparked the Football Supporters Federation to launch theTwenty’s Plenty for Away Tickets campaign which had its national weekend of action just a couple of weeks ago. This excellent article in the Guardian touches on a number of issues that I’ve discussed and also puts forward some innovative pricing strategies that could be employed by clubs.
In evaluation to this analysis clubs will argue that the extra revenue they have been generating from ticket prices has been ploughed back into the clubs which has seen safer all seater stadiums, better facilities, more inclusive fanbases, higher wages, better players and better football. In reality though match day revenue now makes up a much smaller percentage of total revenue when you compare it to huge sponsorship deals and particularly the new TV deal which would allow clubs to lower prices and still leave them with more money than they have had before.

Saturday, 31 October 2015

Unit 3: Mergers and Acquisitions in the News

Click on the links below to access topical examples of mergers, acquisitions and de-mergers in the fast-moving world of business growth and integration. Excellent material and potential questions for the June 2016 examination.

Takeover of Morrisons

Are big mergers bad for consumers?

Poundland and 99p Stores

Shell buys BG group

Southwest Water and Bournemouth merge

Beer Giants merge


Wednesday, 21 October 2015

Unit 1: Introduction of a sugar tax - government intervention to correct market failure

This is an interesting clip: Evan Davis interviewing Jamie Oliver about the possible introduction of a Sugar Tax. Jamie - who looks less boyish these days - addressed the Commons Health Select Committee. And who'd have though that he would use the word 'hypothecated' - and what does it mean? That's for you to look up...
Alas, the term is a bit of a 'red herring' - hypothecated taxes rarely deliver the benefits that they are expected to. However, it's noble that Jamie should be tackling obesity: I hope that he's going to reduce the amount of fat in his cooking...

Monday, 19 October 2015

Unit 3: Ford's High Tech Factory - Dynamic Efficiency

This is an excellent piece from the BBC news channel that looks at the efficiency gains being accumulated in Ford's new 'mega factory' in Valencia. It highlights the marginal gains that Ford have been able to eke out using the most modern technology.
It makes for interesting reading about the minute detail that Ford are having a look at, smartwatches to enhance workforce communication, for instance. And yet, as one analyst notes - "the build pace [of each car] is nothing outstanding."

Sunday, 11 October 2015

Unit 1: Indirect Taxes & Subsidies - notes

The second powerpoint is actually on subsidies. It has a duplicate first slide.....keep reading and you will get all information you require. Questions on tax and subsidies: What would be more effective, taxing cigarettes or subsidising nicotine patches (a healthier substitute for cigarettes). Use diagrams in your answer.

Saturday, 10 October 2015

All Economists: This is a must read post - International Trade Data

Click here to access the latest version of the Observatory of Economic Complexity. The world of economics teaching immediately becomes a brighter place! 

There is simply no better tool for students and their teachers to better understand the patterns and networks of trade between countries, for finding superb examples of international and intra-industry trade.

This should be used as a go to tool to examine countries economic development and complexity. Essential reading for Units 2 & 4.

Tuesday, 6 October 2015

Unit 4: The Trans-Pacific Free trade area is created!

Trans-Pacific free trade deal agreed creating vast partnership




US Flag and ships
Image captionThe TPP will cover about 40% of the world economy

The biggest trade deal in decades was struck on Monday.
The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) cuts trade tariffs and sets common standards in trade for 12 Pacific rim countries, including the US and Japan.
It marks the end of five years of often bitter and tense negotiations.
Supporters say it could be worth billions of dollars to the countries involved but critics say it was negotiated in secret and is biased towards corporations.
The deal covers about 40% of the world economy and was signed after five days of talks in Atlanta in the US.
Despite the success of the negotiations, the deal still has to be ratified by lawmakers in each country.

What is the TPP?


How big is it? Pretty big. The 12 countries have a population of about 800 million and are responsible for 40% of world trade.
What are the criticisms? That negotiations have been conducted in secret, and that it favours big corporations.
Who benefits most? Japan stands to reap huge economic benefits from the deal, while for the US it is an important strategic move.
What happens next? The agreement will need to be ratified by each of the individual member countries.

For President Barack Obama, the trade deal is a major victory.
He said: "This partnership levels the playing field for our farmers, ranchers, and manufacturers by eliminating more than 18,000 taxes that various countries put on our products."
But US Senator Bernie Sanders, a US Democratic presidential candidate, said: "Wall Street and other big corporations have won again."
He said the deal would would cost US jobs and hurt consumers and that he would "do all that I can to defeat this agreement" in Congress.

China left out

China was not involved in the agreement, and the Obama administration is hoping it will be forced to accept most of the standards laid down by TPP.
He said: "When more than 95% of our potential customers live outside our borders, we can't let countries like China write the rules of the global economy.
"We should write those rules, opening new markets to American products while setting high standards for protecting workers and preserving our environment."
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe told reporters the deal was a "major outcome not just for Japan but also for the future of the Asia-Pacific" region.



Supporters and individual patients living with cancer including (L-R) John Fortivin, Zak Norton and Greg Ames, protest outside the hotel where the Trans-Pacific Partnership Ministerial Meetings are being held in Atlanta, Georgia, September 30, 2015.Image copyrightReuters
Image captionThe deal has been criticised by some who say it will withhold lifesaving drugs from people who need them

Biotech dispute

The final round of talks were delayed by negotiations over how long pharmaceutical corporations should be allowed to keep a monopoly period on their drugs.
The US wanted 12 years of protection, saying that by guaranteeing revenues over a long period it encouraged companies to invest in new research.
Australia, New Zealand and several public health groups argued for five years before allowing cheaper generic or "copy-cat" into the market.
They said a shorter patent would bring down drug costs for health services and bring lifesaving medicine to poorer patients.
Even though a compromise was reached, no definitive protection period was confirmed.
Speaking at a press conference following the deal, US Trade Representative Michael Froman hailed the deal as the first to set a period of protection for patents on new drugs, which he said would "incentivise" drug producers.
But the Washington-based Biotechnology Industry Association said it was "very disappointed" by the reports that the agreement fell short of the 12-year protections sought by the US.



New Zealand cowsImage copyrightGetty Images
Image captionWanting access. New Zealand's dairy industry is keen to access other Pacific Rim markets

Tense issues

The car industry was another area of intense negotiation with countries agonising over how much of a vehicle had to be manufactured within the TPP countries in order to qualify for duty-free status.
Agriculture proved another sticking point with countries like New Zealand wanting more access to markets in Canada, Mexico, Japan and the United States.
Canada meanwhile fought to keep access to its domestic dairy and poultry markets strictly limited. The issue and its impact on rural voters is particularly sensitive ahead of the federal election in two weeks time.
Asked about potential job losses - a criticism of the deal - Canada's trade minister Ed Fast said: "We don't anticipate that there will be job losses. Obviously there will be industries that have to adapt."
The agreement was a "once-in-a-lifetime opportunity" for Canada to shape outcomes and rules in the Asia Pacific region, Mr Fast added.

Sunday, 4 October 2015

Unit 2: Human Development Index (HDI)

The Human Development index is a measure of economic development and economic welfare. The Human Development Index examines three important criteria of economic development (life expectancy, education and income levels) and uses this to create an overall score between 0 and 1.
1 indicates a high level of economic development, 0 a very low level.
The HDI combines:
  1. Life Expectancy Index. Average life expectancy compared to a global expected life expectancy..
  2. Education Index
    1. mean years of schooling
    2. expected years of schooling
  3. Income Index (GNI at PPP)

Components of the Human Development Index

HDI_EN

What the HDI shows.

  • The HDI give an overall index of economic development. It has some limitations and excludes several factors that might have been included, but it does give a rough ability to make comparisons on issues of economic welfare – much more than just using GDP statistics show.

Limitations of Human Development Index

  • Wide divergence within countries. For example, countries like China and Kenya have widely different HDI scores depending on the region in question. (e.g. north China poorer than south east)
  • HDI reflect long-term changes (e.g. life expectancy) and may not respond to recent short-term changes.
  • Higher National wealth GDI may not necessarily increase economic welfare, it depends how it is spent.
  • Also higher GDI per capita may hide widespread inequality within a country. Some countries with higher real GDI per capita have high levels of inequality (e.g. Russia, Saudi Arabia)
  • However, HDI can highlight countries with similar GDI per capita but different levels of economic development.
  • Economic welfare depends on several other factors, such as – threat of war, levels of pollution, access to clean drinking water e.t.c.

Top 10 Human Development Index

hdi-top10
Components of HDI score 2011
(HDI) Life expectancy at birthMean years of schoolingExpected years of schooling(GNI) per capita
HDI rankValue(years)(years)(years)(Constant 2005 PPP$)
201120112011a2011a2011
1Norway0.94381.112.617.347,557
2Australia0.92981.912.018.034,431
3Netherlands0.91080.711.6b16.836,402
4United States0.91078.512.416.043,017
5New Zealand0.90880.712.518.023,737
6Canada0.90881.012.1b16.035,166
7Ireland0.90880.611.618.029,322
8Liechtenstein0.90579.610.3c14.783,717
9Germany0.90580.412.2b15.934,854
10Sweden0.90481.411.7b15.735,837


Lowest 10 Counties for HDI


(HDI)Life expectancy at birthMean years of schoolingExpected years of schooling(GNI) per capita
177Eritrea0.34961.63.44.8536
178Guinea0.34454.11.6w8.6863
179Central African Republic0.34348.43.56.6707
180Sierra Leone0.33647.82.97.2737
181Burkina Faso0.33155.41.3r6.31,141
182Liberia0.32956.83.911.0265
183Chad0.32849.61.5i7.21,105
184Mozambique0.32250.21.29.2898
185Burundi0.31650.42.710.5368
186Niger0.29554.71.44.9641
187Congo (Democratic Republic of the)0.28648.43.58.2280

Notes:
Before 2011, the human development index used adult literacy rates rather than mean years of schooling.
The human development index was created by Mahbub ul Haq, and Amartya Sen.